Hybrid breeding for biomass yield in winter triticale: II. Combining ability and hybrid prediction

Accurate hybrid prediction and knowledge about the relative contribution of general (GCA) and specific combining ability (SCA) are of utmost importance for efficient hybrid breeding. We therefore evaluated 91 triticale single-cross hybrids in field trials at seven environments for plant height, heading time, fresh biomass, dry matter content and dry biomass. Fresh and dry biomass showed the highest proportion (23%) of variance due to SCA. Prediction accuracies based on GCA were slightly higher than based on mid-parent values. Utilizing parental kinship information yielded the highest prediction accuracies when both parental lines have been tested in other hybrid combinations, but still moderate-to-low prediction accuracies for two untested parents. Thus, hybrid prediction for biomass traits in triticale is currently promising based on mid-parent values as emphasized by our simulation study, but can be expected to shift to GCA-based prediction with an increasing importance of GCA due to selection in hybrid breeding. Moreover, the performance of potential hybrids between newly developed lines can be predicted with moderate accuracy using genomic relationship information.     

外来豚草属植物在不同环境约束下的入侵能力

通过温室控制试验,探讨生境变化对豚草生长的影响,以及与豚草入侵能力的关系;使用智能光照培养箱模拟不同海拔梯度的温度条件,探讨低温对豚草幼苗生长的影响;通过人工去叶的方式模拟天敌昆虫采食对豚草的生物控制效果。研究结果表明:豚草与丛枝菌根真菌共生增强了其适应不同土壤环境的能力。丛枝菌根真菌通过增加豚草的比叶面积,提高了豚草的资源获取能力,此作用在土壤有效氮含量低时更加明显,丛枝菌根真菌对豚草适应低氮生境有着重要意义。由于海拔升高导致环境温度降低,豚草幼苗的株高显著减少(P0.01),生物量在22.5~15.1℃差异显著(P0.01),15.1~9.4℃差异不显著,低温导致豚草幼苗生长缓慢,可能是限制豚草向北京周边高海拔地区扩散的重要环境因子之一。去叶处理对豚草的分枝数没有显著影响。去叶显著降低了豚草的生物量(P0.05),而在对照和碳素添加(1650 g·m-2)处理中对生物量没有显著影响。去叶后,剩余叶片的叶绿素测定值升高,豚草通过补偿生长增加了剩余叶片中的叶绿素含量以维持必需的光合作用。据此推测,由于豚草具有较强的再生能力,8月份之前如果天敌采食没有达到一定强度,则不会形成有效控制。     

基于逆周期的主权信用评级指标体系研究

现行国际主权信用评级呈现出明显的顺周期特征而广受诟病。在对评级指标体系优化的基础上，采用90个主权国家2005~2012年经济数据进行面板随机效应和门限效应回归，对主权信用评级决定模型进行估计，运用欧债危机发生前后的数据进行模拟评级，结果表明：优化后的指标体系显示出较好的逆周期特征。     

压缩生物质颗粒旋流燃烧炉结构设计与数值模拟

针对目前生物质燃烧炉燃烧效果和设备成本的之间的矛盾,在压缩生物质颗粒燃烧炉的设计中引入旋流燃烧技术,设计了一种压缩生物质颗粒旋流燃烧炉,并采用Fluent软件对设计的压缩生物质颗粒旋流燃烧炉的性能进行了数值模拟。研究结果表明:设计的压缩生物质颗粒旋流燃烧炉的性能能够满足小型工业企业和家庭用户的需求,同时能够有效降低烟气中CO的含量,烟气中CO含量远远低于国家标准要求。研究结果对改进生物质燃烧炉结构、提高生物质燃烧炉性能等方面具有一定的意义。     

基于Fluent的甘蔗收割机排杂装置气流场的模拟

采用商用计算流体力学(CFD)软件Fluent,对华南农业大学研制的HN4GDL-91型切段式甘蔗收割机排杂装置内部流场进行模拟。利用Pro/E建立三维实体模型,Gambit软件对模型进行网格划分,使用Fluent软件进行数值模拟,在TECPLOT中完成分析。根据实际条件需要设置边界条件,对排杂装置在不同转速下的速度场和压力场进行模拟,并对比模拟数据与实验数据,为甘蔗联合收割机排杂装置结构的设计和优化,以及提高排杂装置效率提供参考。     

不同结构尼龙网防风效应的风洞模拟

为对比不同结构尼龙网不同风速下的防风效应,开展对均匀型(A)、上密下疏型(B)、上疏下密型(C)3种不同结构尼龙网在6 m·s~(-1)、9 m·s~(-1)、12 m·s~(-1)指示风速下的风洞模拟试验。通过对不同结构尼龙网各风速下加速率等值线图和防风效能的对比分析,结果表明:1 3种结构尼龙网风场存在相似性但差异明显。B型尼龙网风影区下部存在加速区,A、C型则不存在;C型风影区中心位置较低。2 A、C型尼龙网防风效应随风速增大而降低,B型则相反。3测量范围内C型尼龙网防风效应明显优于A、B型。实际应用中应综合考虑沙障结构、风况等因素,尼龙网栅栏的布设建议选用上疏下密型结构。     

Numerical simulation of deformations and forces of a floating fish cage collar in waves

The dynamic behavior of a fish cage collar in waves was investigated using a numerical model based on the finite element method. The floating collar and mooring system were divided into a series of line segments modeled by straight massless model segments with a node at each end. To verify the validity of the numerical model, research data from other authors were cited and compared with the simulated results, the comparison of results showed a good agreement. The numerical model was then applied to a dynamic simulation of a floating cage collar in waves to analyze its elastic deformation and mooring line tension. The simulated results indicated that the greatest deformation of the collar taken place in the position of the mooring line connection point when incident waves were in the same direction. An increase in the length of mooring line would help to decrease the mooring line tension of the collar. Furthermore, the effects of collar dimension, including collar circumference, pipe diameter in cross-section, and pipe thickness, on the dynamic behavior of the floating collar were discussed. The results of this study provided a better understanding of the dynamic behavior of the fish cage collar.     

基于MCMC模拟的MGPD模型及其在地质灾害风险度量中的应用

基于马尔科夫链蒙特卡洛(简记为MCMC)模拟的参数贝叶斯估计,对改进的广义帕累托分布(简记为MGPD)模型进行了优化,并利用该模型得到了地质灾害损失的在险损失值(简记为VaR)和条件损失值(简记为CVaR).以湖南娄底市地质灾害损失数据进行实证分析及模型适应性检验,结果表明:优化后的模型不仅具有很好的极值数据描述能力,而且具有较强的适用性.     

基于EEF模型的昆明市生态系统发展状态评价

运用能值分析理论改进的生态足迹模型(EEF),对昆明市2002~2011年能值足迹的动态变化进行分析,并应用GM(1,1)模型,对未来10年人均能值进行预测。结果发现:EEF模型的计算数值明显高于传统模型;昆明市生态系统出现盈余,处于可持续发展状态;在自然环境、经济状况不发生"突变"的前提下,2012~2020年人均能值盈余呈下降趋势且年均递减率为20.57%,尽管生态系统没有赤字,但生态安全面临严峻挑战。本研究对"新昆明"建设及其生态系统的可持续发展将有着重要的启示。     

基于Ecotect的温室环境参数的模拟分析

应用Ecotect软件对温室内的光照分布和温度等环境参数进行模拟,并将模拟数据与实测数据进行对比分析,探讨软件用于温室设计中的可行性。结果表明:实测数据与模拟数据差异不显著,该软件可作为温室设计优化的辅助性工具。